流动人口长期居留意愿特征及影响因素演变研究——基于学历分异视角

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.04.011

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Abstract In the context of a shifting focus from 'talent' to 'population' in the battle for talents, there is an urgent need to increase attention to the long-term residence intention of low-educated floating populations in cities. Based on data from the China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS) in 2014 and 2018, and using junior college education as a dividing line, this paper explores the differences in characteristics and influencing factors of long-term residence intention among floating population of different educational backgrounds, and how these differences evolve over time. The findings are as follows: 1) Over time, the long-term residence intention among these two groups has significantly increased in the western and central regions. 2) In terms of influencing factors, economic characteristics exert a greater influence on the long-term residence decisions of the less educated migrants, while family characteristics have a stronger impact on those with higher education. Over the years, the economic factors' influence on both groups diminisher, whereas the significance of family characteristics grows. 3) At the city level, large cities outside of urban agglomerations hold the greatest appeal for long-term residency among both highly and less educated individuals. High-educated people weigh factors such as industry and natural environment more heavily than those with low educational attainment when making long-term residence decisions. However, the considerations of these two groups tend to converge as time goes on. The comparative study enriches the analysis of group heterogeneity in the field of migrants, and complements the insufficient research on migrants with lower educational levels.

Key words： floating population long-term residence intention educational differentiation influencing factor dynamic evolution

Received: 12 August 2024

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C922

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	Articles by authors
	FENG Jian-xi
	ZHAO Xuan
	TANG Shuang-shuang
	LUO Xiao-long

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FENG Jian-xi,ZHAO Xuan,TANG Shuang-shuang等. EVOLUTIONARY ANALYSIS OF THE CHARACTERISTICS AND IMPACTING FACTORS OF FLOATING POPULATION’S LONG-TERM RESIDENCE INTENTION: BASED ON EDUCATIONAL DIFFERENTIATION[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2025, 40(4): 108-118.

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http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/EN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.04.011 OR http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/EN/Y2025/V40/I4/108

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